logo

Previous Bitcoin Cycles Analyzed, New Peak Emerges for BTC Price – Pay Close Attention to This Level

By: cryptosheadlines|2025/05/16 04:00:12
0
Share
copy
Airdrop Is Live CaryptosHeadlines Media Has Launched Its Native Token CHT. Airdrop Is Live For Everyone, Claim Instant 5000 CHT Tokens Worth Of $50 USDT. Join the Airdrop at the official website, CryptosHeadlinesToken.com Cryptocurrency analysis company Alphractal, in its new statement evaluating Bitcoin’s long-term price movements, pointed out that BTC takes on a more mature and consolidated structure with each new cycle.According to Alphractal’s analysis, Bitcoin historically reaches cycle peaks at multiples of the 2-year moving average (2Y SMA), but these peaks occur at lower multiples with each new cycle, indicating that the market is maturing and volatility is decreasing.The company summarized the peaks in past cycles as follows:In the early periods, Bitcoin peaked at 2Y SMA ×15 levels.In 2017, this multiplier dropped to 10.In the 2021 cycle, there was a decline first to ×5, then to ×2.65 levels.In the most recent cycle, Bitcoin failed to re-exceed the 2.65 multiplier, suggesting that gains are narrowing and the market is becoming more stable.Alphractal noted that the current 2Y SMA ×2.65 level is around $159,000, adding that this level will be a significant resistance point if Bitcoin gains momentum.Finally, the company stated, “Although gains are more narrowly realized, the potential to move well beyond the 2-year average in each cycle is still live, indicating continued long-term strength in the market.”*This is not investment advice.Follow our Telegram and Twitter account now for exclusive news, analytics and on-chain data!Source link

You may also like

a16z Crypto: 9 Charts to Understand the Evolution Trends of Stablecoins

Stablecoins are evolving from trading tools into universal payment infrastructure, and this process is quieter and more thorough than most people expected.

Refutation of Yang Haipo's "The End of Cryptocurrency"

This may be the true test of cryptocurrency. It's not about whether the price has reached a new high, nor about who will achieve financial freedom in the next bull market, but rather whether, after all the grand narratives have been washed away by cycles, it can still leave behind some simpler, more...

Can a hairdryer earn $34,000? Interpreting the reflexivity paradox of prediction markets

Prediction markets are essentially betting on reality, and when participants can access or even influence this path earlier, the market no longer just reflects reality but begins to shape it in return.

6MV Founder: In 2026, the "landmark turning point" for crypto investment has arrived

"I will deploy funds in 2026, so I will tell you this is the best year in history."

Abraxas Capital Mints $2.89 Billion USDT: Liquidity Boost or Just More Stablecoin Arbitrage?

Abraxas Capital just received $2.89 billion in freshly minted USDT from Tether. Is this a bullish liquidity injection for crypto markets, or is it business as usual for a stablecoin arbitrage giant? We analyze the data and the likely impact on Bitcoin, altcoins, and DeFi.

A VC from the Crypto world said AI is too crazy, and they are very conservative

Amid the Crypto frenzy and with investors who once missed out on Pinduoduo, a new AI fund called Impa Ventures was established, rejecting bubble narratives and adhering to a conservative "problem-first" strategy to seek real business value.
The Joker is back
Bigger pools, auto-play, lucky buffs.
The Joker is backJoin now and grab your rewards.

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

19:42

Brazil bans 27 prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket, which are listed as illegal

According to Cointelegraph, Brazilian authorities announced the ban of 27 prediction market platforms, including Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Robinhood (prediction feature), and Fanatics Markets.The ban is led by the Ministry of Finance and executed by the National Telecommunications Agency (Anate...
19:42

The DeFi United ecological rescue operation has raised over 69,618 ETH, worth approximately 161 million USD

The DeFi United coordinated rescue operation led by Aave service providers after the rsETH incident on April 18 has raised a total of $161.53 million (approximately 69,618 ETH). The plan aims to help restore the collateral backing of rsETH that was damaged due to the Kelp DAO bridging attack and imp...
19:42

In the past 7 days, the circulation of USDC has decreased by about 700 million, with a total circulation of 78 billion

According to official data, in the 7 days ending April 23, Circle issued approximately 5.1 billion USDC, redeemed about 5.8 billion USDC, and the circulation decreased by approximately 700 million. The total circulation of USDC is 78 billion, with reserves of about 78.2 billion USD, including overni...
19:42

The probability of MegaETH's market cap exceeding 1 billion dollars on its launch day on Polymarket is 88%

Polymarket's latest data shows that the market probability for the bet "MegaETH's market capitalization (FDV) exceeds 1 billion dollars one day after launch" is currently 88%, the probability of exceeding 600 million dollars is 97%, the probability of exceeding 800 million dollars is 93%, the probab...
19:42

Chief Economist of New Fire Group, Fu Peng: The essence of Bitcoin perpetual contracts is that large holders earn rent from long-term positions, while retail investors pay for leverage to go long

The newly appointed chief economist of New Fire Group, Fu Peng, stated on Twitter that the underlying business model of Bitcoin perpetual contracts is essentially the same as the "rollover fee/overnight fee" in traditional finance's gold and industrial commodity spot exchanges.Fu Peng pointed out th...
Read more
Community
iconiconiconiconiconiconicon

Customer Support Bot：@WEEX_support_smart_Bot

VIP Services：support@weex.com