Moody's: Global Economic Growth Expected to Stabilize in 2027, Oil Prices to Start Declining Mid-next Year

Moody's Ratings noted in its latest macroeconomic outlook that global economic growth is expected to slow from 2.8% in 2025 to 2.6% in 2026, stabilizing around this growth rate in 2027 and 2028. Developed economies are expected to grow by about 1.7% next year, while emerging markets may see growth slow from 4.5% in 2025 to about 4% in 2027. Moody's stated that as oil prices peak and hover near the upper end of the $90-110 per barrel range, overall inflation will ease, with oil prices expected to start declining in mid-2027. Central banks may choose to implement limited interest rate hikes rather than initiate a prolonged tightening cycle. Capital expenditures by major cloud service providers are expected to remain high at around $1 trillion next year, but as growth slows from about 100% this year to 25% next year, their support for GDP will weaken.

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