Bitcoin’s Path Mirrors Global M2, Eyes $120K Surge by May End
By: cryptofrontnews|2025/05/15 03:00:14
0
Share
Bitcoin mirrors global M2 with 89.6% correlation, signaling a likely surge to $120K or higher by the end of May amid rising liquidity.April's BTC rally from $76K to $105K validates the M2 model, forecasting continued growth aligned with macro money supply trends.A potential breakout above $160K is expected around May 24 as sidelined investors react to BTC’s strong alignment with global liquidity.Bitcoin continues to shadow the global M2 money supply, with strong signs pointing to a potential explosive move above $120,000 by late May. According to analysis by Colin Talks Crypto, Bitcoin is currently in sync with the global M2 curve — offset by 81 days — and may soon break into new all-time highs. This correlation, already proven in April, forecasts a substantial price rally driven by macroeconomic liquidity trends. On April 8, Bitcoin launched from $76,000 to $105,000, aligning perfectly with a turning point in M2. This move validated the M2-based prediction model and signaled renewed bullish momentum.Strong Correlation Strengthens the Bull CaseThe 81-day lag between Bitcoin and M2 shows a high correlation rate of 89.6%. Over longer spans like 1.5 years, this figure peaks at 92.9%. Even at 30 to 60 days, correlation levels remain above 87%, underlining the model’s robustness. These numbers suggest that Bitcoin’s price often follows global liquidity cycles with slight delays. Moreover, custom offsets like 182 days still show a meaningful 60.2% correlation. Hence, the pattern isn't a coincidence but a recurring macroeconomic signal.Source: Colin Talks CryptoFrom late 2023 through March 2024, BTC and M2 moved almost in parallel. However, BTC outpaced M2 between April and August 2024. Then, from September to November 2024, BTC lagged behind, mirroring M2’s earlier path. During early 2025, BTC dipped while M2 rose, causing concern among investors. Still, April 2025 marked a key inflection point. The "BLAST-OFF" moment confirmed the return of alignment and bullish sentiment.BTC Poised for Explosive UpsideCurrently trading around $104,000, BTC could surge into the $160,000–$200,000 range if the M2 pattern holds. Additionally, a move is projected around May 24. The expected climb, outlined by a green channel, aligns with M2’s previous rise. Consequently, sidelined investors may rush in, triggering intense FOMO. This could fuel an accelerated breakout past previous highs.Besides technical indicators, macro liquidity continues to expand globally. Moreover, the M2 curve suggests that Bitcoin remains in a broader uptrend. Hence, any pullback may be short-lived. The data-driven correlation points to one conclusion — Bitcoin's bull run is far from over.The post Bitcoin’s Path Mirrors Global M2, Eyes $120K Surge by May End appears on Crypto Front News. Visit our website to read more interesting articles about cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and digital assets.
You may also like

Morning Report | DeepSeek completes over $7 billion in financing, with a valuation exceeding $50 billion; Musk's personal wealth has surpassed the total market value of Bitcoin
Overview of Important Market Events on June 16

SharpLink CEO: How to understand that Ethereum developers have just surpassed 1 million?
The most important question in the cryptocurrency industry is not which chain is the fastest, but rather where top builders choose to build in the long term. Ethereum has just surpassed one million cumulative developers; what does this number mean?

Morning Report | MiCA grace period expires on July 1; Kalshi's trading volume in the first week of the World Cup breaks $5.1 billion, setting a record
Overview of Important Market Events on June 15

The foundation of SpaceX's trillion-dollar valuation: Who is dividing Musk's annual capital expenditure of tens of billions?
SpaceX Supply Chain Revealed: The Invisible Gold Mine Behind the Trillion-Dollar "Space Dream," from Nvidia's Computing Power Monopoly to China's Sole Supplier of Special Materials, these overlooked water-selling talents are the true wealth creation engine.

How to exit after asset tokenization?
Currently, three models have emerged, aimed at providing instant exit routes for tokenized real-world assets. Their differences lie in: who holds the funds required for exit, how efficiently the funds operate, and the extent to which this model can be scaled across different asset types.

The stablecoin positioning battle escalates: When compliance is just a ticket to entry, will USD1 become the biggest winner?
How does the GENIUS Act reshape the stablecoin landscape?

A16Z: The sun bears witness, SpaceX is worth 7.5 trillion
A deep analysis of Musk's ultimate grand vision: how SpaceX, xAI, and Tesla are deeply intertwined, using space AI data centers and Starships to gradually turn the sci-fi fantasies of Mars colonization and multi-planetary civilization into reality.

Mergers and acquisitions in the cryptocurrency market are exceptionally active
Behind the rise in mergers and acquisitions is a sluggish financing market, declining project valuations, and increased pressure for startup teams to exit. However, it also indicates that the cryptocurrency industry has not lost its capital vitality, but is completing resource reorganization in anot...

Concerns Behind the Binance Customer Service Controversy
As the user base expands to the scale of Binance today, relying on the personal efforts of the founder and a few employees to fill process gaps has become an unsustainable arrangement.

SpaceX Stock Prediction After the IPO: Can SPCX Reach $200 Before QQQ Inclusion?
SpaceX stock has become one of the hottest trades of 2026. Can SPCX reach $200 before QQQ inclusion? Discover the latest SpaceX stock prediction, analyst targets, Bitcoin exposure, and the key catalysts that could move SpaceX stock after its historic IPO.

Congratulations to Carl Moon on His Historic Ferrari Challenge Le Mans Podium Triumph
Crypto influencer and racing enthusiast Carl Moon finished third in the Ferrari Challenge Le Mans Coppa Shell class, marking his best result of the year. As his racing partner and sponsor, WEEX celebrates this remarkable achievement and continues to lead crypto’s journey beyond boundaries, uniting the innovation of digital assets with the passion of motorsport.

Can the CLARITY Act Become Law by July 4? Everything You Need to Know About the Final Battle
The CLARITY Act has cleared a major Senate hurdle, but the hardest battle is still ahead. With the July 4 deadline approaching, can the White House finally pass its biggest crypto regulation bill? Find the clues in our exclusive analysis below.

France vs Senegal World Cup 2026: Mbappe’s New Era Begins Against a Historic Rival
France vs Senegal World Cup 2026 preview: Can Mbappe lead France past Senegal after the shocking 2002 World Cup defeat? Full team news, predicted lineups, key battles, and WEEX's exclusive match prediction.

What is the connection between Huang Zheng of Pinduoduo and blockchain?
From Pinduoduo's "reverse insurance" to blockchain's smart contracts, this article explains how Huang Zheng's underlying logic uses "certainty" rules to reshape the flow of wealth for ordinary people.

Morning Report | Prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket jointly sue Kentucky over 14.25% trading tax; Bridgewater founder discusses decision-making in the AI era: principled thinking should run parallel to AI, human insight remains irre...
Overview of Important Market Events on June 15

If the AI bubble has already burst, who will truly remain?
What remains after the AI bubble bursts? The plummeting cost of computing power is driving AI to accelerate the reshaping of various industries. What will be left after the major reshuffle is an irreversible revolution in real productivity.

Paul Graham: How to Make a Billion Dollars
Silicon Valley guru Paul Graham reveals the underlying logic of billion-dollar wealth: no need to cheat, just create products that users love intensely, allowing exponential growth to create wealth miracles.

After 18 years, blockchain has finally started to head towards the main channel
When AI becomes the new center of gravity in the capital market, the response of crypto VCs is not to stick to "Crypto-only," but to repackage crypto as the financial track, ownership layer, and autonomous system infrastructure of the AI era.
Morning Report | DeepSeek completes over $7 billion in financing, with a valuation exceeding $50 billion; Musk's personal wealth has surpassed the total market value of Bitcoin
Overview of Important Market Events on June 16
SharpLink CEO: How to understand that Ethereum developers have just surpassed 1 million?
The most important question in the cryptocurrency industry is not which chain is the fastest, but rather where top builders choose to build in the long term. Ethereum has just surpassed one million cumulative developers; what does this number mean?
Morning Report | MiCA grace period expires on July 1; Kalshi's trading volume in the first week of the World Cup breaks $5.1 billion, setting a record
Overview of Important Market Events on June 15
The foundation of SpaceX's trillion-dollar valuation: Who is dividing Musk's annual capital expenditure of tens of billions?
SpaceX Supply Chain Revealed: The Invisible Gold Mine Behind the Trillion-Dollar "Space Dream," from Nvidia's Computing Power Monopoly to China's Sole Supplier of Special Materials, these overlooked water-selling talents are the true wealth creation engine.
How to exit after asset tokenization?
Currently, three models have emerged, aimed at providing instant exit routes for tokenized real-world assets. Their differences lie in: who holds the funds required for exit, how efficiently the funds operate, and the extent to which this model can be scaled across different asset types.
The stablecoin positioning battle escalates: When compliance is just a ticket to entry, will USD1 become the biggest winner?
How does the GENIUS Act reshape the stablecoin landscape?
Customer Support:@weikecs
Business Cooperation:@weikecs
Quant Trading & MM:bd@weex.com
VIP Program:support@weex.com
