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Before the "Mini Non-Farm Payrolls" report, the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in March was 90%.
By: theblockbeats.news|2026/02/05 00:01:41
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BlockBeats News, February 4th, according to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in March is 10%, and the probability of rates staying unchanged is 90%.
The probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate cut by the Fed by April is 21.6%, the probability of rates staying unchanged is 77%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis points rate cut is 1.5%.
The probability of a cumulative 25 basis points rate cut by June is 44.8%.
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